RESEARCH BIBLIOGRAPHY
• Substantial research exists to support the prevailing view that MCAT scores and
GPA are not good predictors of success for medical students (particularly in
clinical years) or ultimately for physicians.
o Joan Y. Reede, MD, MPH, MS, Predictors of Success in Medicine
, 362
Clinical Orthopedics and Related Research 72, (1999) (GPA and MCAT
have little correlation to success in clinical clerkships, residencies or in
physician practice)
o J.A. Collier, Using a Standard Patient Examination to Establish the
Predictive Value of the MCAT and Undergraduate GPA as Admission
Criteria, 64 Acad. Med. 482 (1989) (MCAT and GPA have weak
correlation to clinical performance).
o H.G. Gough, Some Predictive Implications of Pre Medical Scientific
Competence and Preferences, 53 J. Med. Ed. 291 (1978) (MCAT and
GPA have no predictive value of success in the clinical years)
o R.M. Rippey, A Study of University of Connecticut’s Criteria for
Admissions Into Medical School, 15 Med. Ed. 231 (1981) (MCAT and
GPA have no predictive value of success in the clinical years)
o M.D. Smith, Better Admissions Criteria
, 73 Acad. Med. 1054 (1998)
(differences in MCAT scores do not correlate with significant differences
in academic achievement in medical school)
o J.W. Keck, Efficacy of Cognitive/Non Cognitive Measures in Predicting
Resident-Physician Performance, 54 J. Med. Ed. 759 (1979) (minimal
correlation between standardized tests and grades with clinical success in
residency)
o P.H. Richardson, Grade Predictions for School Leaving Examinations-Do
They Predict Anything?, 32 Med. Ed. 294 (1998) (British research reaches
same conclusion).
• Research demonstrates that other factors besides raw academic information are
better predictors of success in the medical field. Those factors include, breadth of
knowledge, interpersonal skills, problem solving, caring and moral motivation,
motivation to study, interview ratings, prior health care experience, personality,
character, integrity, evidence of leadership, work habits, attitudes, orientation
toward service and altruism.
o W.C. McGaghie, Qualitative Variables in Medical School Admissions
, 65
Acad. Med. 45 (1990) (these cognitive and non-cognitive factors are
critical in medical school admissions decisions)
o D.A. Latif, Moral Reasoning: Should It Serve as a Criterion for Student
and Resident Selection in Pharmacy, 65 Am. J. Pharmaceutical Ed. 119
(2000) (integrity, problem solving, professionalism and caring are better
predictors of decision making ability)
o K.E. Meredith, Subjective and Objective Admissions Factors as Predictors
of Clinical Clerkship Performance, 57 J. Med. Ed. 743 (1982); clinical
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